"I want to be that strong and effective voice in the Perrottet government.". JasonYat-sen Li is set to win on a slim margin against the Liberal's Bridget Sakr. After many years living and working in Australia and overseas as a public servant and diplomat, he moved to Queanbeyan in 2011. Former Bega mayor Kristy McBain may sneak over the line for Labor in Eden-Monaro after preferences are distributed. Barilaro has had a strong personal following but will it translate into a strong vote for a new Nationals candidate. I predict Nationals will win with a margin of around 4.17%, benefitted by OPV although it would be a significant swing due to the loss of Barilaros popularity. Labor is set to win the seat of Bega off the government and retain Strathfield,while the Nationals will holdMonaro. The Labor Party is defending seven seats. WebView information for the 2023 NSW State election on Saturday, 25 March 2023. She has run in both state and federal elections locally in the past for the Greens and said she was feeling most confident this time around. In former premier Gladys Berejiklian's electorate of Willoughby, Liberal candidate Tim James claimed victory. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. She was also the Greens candidate for Eden-Monaro at the 2010 and 2013 Federal elections amongst other candidacies. WebCurrent elections in NSW Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) WebAn amendment to the Electoral Funding Act 2018 makes it unlawful for a person to make or accept a political donation in the form of cash over $100.. As is the case with other Nats wont beat the liberals in eden monaro. Edit: There was a miscalculation, Coalition would actually only win this seat by 0.06% using federal results in terms of 2PP, or by 50 votes. Postal votes must be completed by polling day and returned by at latest Friday 25 February. Web1918 Monaro by-election Saturday 23 November [1] Party Candidate Votes Labor John Bailey 3,683 63.51 +0.89 Nationalist Patrick Sullivan 2,005 34.57 -2.81 Independent Monaro has a remarkable record as a bellwether seat. The NSW Electoral Commission has announced the iVote system used during the 2021 local government elections will not be available for the upcoming by-elections. In Monaro, the wife of former Queanbeyan mayor and journalist Nichole Overrall will take on Labors Bryce Wilson on the ballot sheet as a representative of The Nationals party, with seven candidates in total standing for the seat. He was re-elected in Monaro without an official Labor opponent, and was eventually readmitted to the party. But even Whan's personal popularity was not enough to hold off the Labor landslide in 2011, new National candidate John Barilaro winning with 52.1% after preferences. Mauger retired early in 1976 due to ill-health. New Liberal Premier Eric Willis called a by-election, but with prospects of defeat and warnings from Canberra of a tough Federal budget ahead, Willis cancelled the by-election and called a state election for May 1976. Incumbent Labor member and former Bega mayor, Kristy McBain clinched the geographically diverse seat in 2020 with a margin of less than one per cent. Although no other seats changed hands, each party suffered a swing against it. At the 2019 election, pre-polls represented 26.9% of enrolment, and Postal and iVotes together 7.9%. Interesting to note that Labor (Wilson), AJP (Seymour) and IND (Thaler) all ran in the 2019 Election; none of the other by-elections [so far] have same candidates running from 2019 to the By-election. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. ABC chief elections analyst Antony Green says Labors Jason Yat-Sen Li will win the seat of Strathfield in Sydney's inner west. Too close to call but Id tip the Nats to narrowly hold this as of 20:16 NSW time. WebLegislative Council. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Barilaro announced his decision to retire three days after Premier Gladys Berejiklian announced her resignation as Premier. Mr Barilaro held the Monaro seat from 2011 as a member of the National Party until he left parliament officially on 31 December 2021. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Key points: The NSW Parliament Speaker has set the date for four by-elections for Saturday, February 12 It will fill positions for outgoing members Gladys Dredging crews uncover waste in seemingly clear waterways, In a city with a housing crisis, neighbours object to social housing, 'I don't have any money': Blind 98-year-old woman thought she'd have to sell her couch to pay Robodebt bill, How HECS debts became 'yet another way women have to fight' to gain parity with men, 'Heartbroken': Matildas midfielder suffers serious injury ahead of World Cup, NRL live: Bulldogs begin new era in clash with reborn Sea Eagles, 'I got that wrong': All Blacks star apologises for 'throat-slitting' gesture. The incumbent minority Liberal/National The seat was abolished in 1920 when proportional representation was introduced, and Monaro was included in the three-member Goulburn district. Labor candidate in StrathfieldJason Yat-sen Li has used his victory speech to call out racism in politics. Ms Farrelly is an author, architecture critic, essayist, columnist and public speaker. By car By public transport Navigate from. Postal votes will be checked against in-person voting rolls to prevent double voting. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. "There will be a number of different ways people can still vote," she said. Postal voting packs will be sent to every voter enrolled in the Bega and Monaro districtsto help reduce the risk of COVID-19 transmission. Read and follow the instructions in the postal vote pack carefully. "We're currently considering whether to contest the by-election," Ms Willis said. Barilaro was elected to Queanbeyan City Council in 2008 and elected as member for Monaro in 2011. WebSeat-by-seat guide to the 2023 New South Wales state election NEW SOUTH WALES ELECTION 2023. However, Dr Kotvojs said residents will still have a number of options when voting. Whan was re-elected in 2007, and served as a minister in the Labor government from 2009 to 2011. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). #nswpol", "Sarah Griffin - Candidate for Willoughby", "Minns vows to ban pork-barrelling in bid to rebuild trust with voters", "NSW Labor frontbencher delivers extraordinary attack on one of her own", "Senior NSW Labor figure parachuted into parliamentary spot, replacing Khal Asfour", "Labor hopeful regional champ will return in landslide", "Perrottet's plan to install two new Liberal women passes with party vote", "First Nations Activist Lynda-June Coe announced as NSW Greens Upper House Candidate", "Latham plans to quit Parliament and run again atop One Nation ticket", "Former Labor MP switches to One Nation weeks before NSW election", "NSW Shooters, Fishers and Farmers leader survives vote to replace him but questions remain over future of disgruntled MPs", "AJP's lead candidate is Alison Waters from Lismore", "An ambitious campaign: Elizabeth Farrelly running for NSW upper house as an independent", "Fred Nile to retire from parliament to make way for his wife", "Sydney personality Danny Lim to make run for parliament", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Candidates_of_the_2023_New_South_Wales_state_election&oldid=1142683145, Candidates for New South Wales state elections, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:41. Monaro is a southern NSW electorate that lies to the east and south of the Australian Capital Territory. Click for more details of two-party preferred results by polling place and vote type. As the boxes below show, it has been won by a party forming government at 27 of the 30 elections since 1927. [2], The Monaro by-election was held on the same day as by-elections for the districts of Bega, Strathfield and Willoughby. LAB will see this as an opportunity to break the trend recently. Whan subsequently resigned from his upper house seat to recontest Monaro in 2015, but again lost to Barilaro. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. After Labor lost in 1988 the new Nat soon consolidated and built up huge margins that resisted the swing back to Labor in 1991 & 1995. If Mike Kelly decides to run here for Labor he could definitely win but his medical condition likely stops him from running here. The seat is a traditional bellwether electorate, returning a member supporting the government at 27 of the 30 elections since 1927. She says she is waiting to see results from postal votes to flow in next week. She served on the Animals Australia executive committee from 1996 to 2006 and the ACT Animal Welfare Advisory Committee from 1996-2013. In 1976, another three-cornered contest saw Labor candidate John Akister windespite the combined Country Party and Liberal Party vote adding up to a majority. The absence of Barilaro should make this seat more competitive. Geography Southeastern NSW. Whats the word on the ground with this one? Barilaro had hinted several times since 2019 that he would leave state politics. Liberals candidate for Bega, South Coast farmer Fiona Kotvojs,has also hit the campaign trail across the region. I guess its safe to say, that, to the extent that the repeat candidates represent the primary vote (PV) garnered in 2019 (just under 32% in Monaro in particular), the seat has more reliable form-guide information than its coeval seats. WebThe Monaro by-election was held on the same day as by-elections for the districts of Bega, Strathfield and Willoughby. He says Labor have a "substantial lead" that he doesn't see turning around. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. In 1965, Seiffert retired, and his son ran as the Labor candidate, losing to the Liberal candidate Steve Mauger in a three-cornered contest, with Country Party preferences electing the Liberal by only 268 votes. And although there's been some surprise results, the swings can't necesssarily be used to predict what's to come in 13 months at the next NSW state election or the federal election later this year. Six pre-polling booths will open at both theBega and Monaro electorates on Monday, but it's not the only option to voters. Barilaros 2019 vote suggest he has a strong personal vote that the National Party will miss at the by-election. SUSTAINABLE AUSTRALIA PARTY - STOP OVERDEVELOPMENT/CORRUPTION. Kristy McBain MP, Member for Eden Monaro: Thousands of people travel on the #BartonHighway everyday between Australian Politics / Just In Julie Collins: The Albanese Government has an ambitious plan to help tackle hous Surprisingly the seat was won by the National Party in 1988, its candidate Peter Cochran holding the seat easily despite the change of government in 1995, becoming the first Monaro MP to sit on the opposition benches in six decades. Each level of government has a I ran against Bruz in the 2019 state election and I will run again to remind people why Bruz was a poor choice. The Monaro and Bega by-elections were prompted by the resignations of former NSW Deputy Premier John Barilaro and former NSW Transport Minster Andrew The retiring member is former Deputy Premier of New South Wales John Barilaro. Labor is set to win the seat of Bega off the government Whan was again the Labor candidate in 2015, but Barilaro was re-elected with a small swing in his favour, on 52.5% after preferences. The party's intention to not run in the upcoming by-election, whose electorate boundary falls within the federal seat of Eden-Monaro, does not surprise convenor of the Queanbeyan-Monaro Greens, Katrina Willis. "The Electoral Commission mustundertake a comprehensive review and analysis of the root cause [or causes] of the problem," a statement said. The Coalition has not had to rely too muchon the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers this term but they may need to keep them on side after tonight. NSW Labor on the other hand, has announced they will put forward a candidate "at the appropriate time", although admitting the chances of winning the seat aren't in their favour. George Souriss 4 year term on the Board of Racing NSW expires on 18th December. With 56.3 per centof its population born overseas, Strathfield is one of NSWs most ethnically diverse electorates, and candidates have often struggled to reach non-English speaking voters. With three candidates remaining at the end of the count, the combined Liberal and National vote was 55.7%, but with a third of Liberal preferences exhausting, new National candidate Peter Webb was elected by only 128 votes with 50.2% after preferences. [1] The by-election was triggered by the death of Gus Miller (Labor).[2]. Web2022 Monaro state by-election Party Candidate Votes % % National: Nichole Overall: 21,728 45.96 6.35 Labor: Bryce Wilson 15,102 31.95 +4.78 Greens: Catherine Moore Barilaro did good to build up a personal vote over 10 years as the state seat (which is basically 70% Queanbeyan suburbs with the rest its rural hinterland and the snowfields) is an anomaly for a Nationals-held seat, as on a federal level it is more of a Labor-Liberal contest. Labor took an extra seat to now have 3 and swing of 8% and a Labor Independent increased from 1 seat to 2 seats therefore 5 seats from 3 at the last election for Labor. Nichole's husband Tim Overall was a councillor for both Queanbeyan City Council and Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council over many years and served as Mayor for more than 13 years before retiring at last December's local government elections. [3] In 1913, it absorbed much of the electoral district of Queanbeyan, including Queanbeyan, which is its major city. Dredging crews uncover waste in seemingly clear waterways, In a city with a housing crisis, neighbours object to social housing, 'I don't have any money': Blind 98-year-old woman thought she'd have to sell her couch to pay Robodebt bill, How HECS debts became 'yet another way women have to fight' to gain parity with men, 'Heartbroken': Matildas midfielder suffers serious injury ahead of World Cup, NRL live: Bulldogs begin new era in clash with reborn Sea Eagles, 'I got that wrong': All Blacks star apologises for 'throat-slitting' gesture. iVote is not available but see note below on postal voting. This includes Deputy Premier John Barilaro announcing his decision to resign as Minister, Nationals Leader For more details on the by-election visit the NSW Electoral Commission's website.The by-election has been caused by the resignation from Parliament of former Nationals Leader and Deputy Premier John Barilaro. "This time is going to bedifferent because there's a lot more interest in talking to all candidates rather than just the major parties.". Meet all 13 candidates in Saturdays be-elections below. The seat of Willoughby, which had been held by former premier Gladys Berejiklian, remains too close to call. look at Federal seat figures for Queanbeyan some thing like 55% alp to 57% npa here some thing like 12% difference suggests a personal vote for Barilaro of maybe 10% ish. Tim James, the candidate for the Liberals, is likely to retain Willoughby, the lower north shore seat held by Gladys Berejiklian on a margin of 21 per cent last poll. In Cootamundra; 28.3%, in total, was garnered by two candidates, namely, ALP and CDP, who re-contested in the by election. Unlike Bega, it is interesting to note that this seat would also be Coalition held on a Federal level, although using federal results the margin for this seat would only be 0.16% for the Coalition using the Eden-Monaro by election results. Postal votes for voters marked as having voted will be rejected. I wonder if this increase will replicate out in the Monaro by-election. "The government needs to changedirection. He easily won the contest with 53.3% after preferences and 56.3% in 2007. History The seat of Monaro was first creating in 1858, and apart from three terms in the 1920s, Monaro has existed as an electoral district ever since. The former Liberal MP for Bega has acknowledged the "very big swing" against the Liberals in Bega. She contested Monaro at the 2019 NSW election and Eden-Monaro at the 2016 federal election. "It's really important to stand so we can talk about the issues that are normally ignored by the other parties and candidates," she said. WebMonaro By-election - NSW Electorate, Candidates, Results - ABC News Monaro By-election - NSW Election 2022 Share 83.2 % turnout, final figures NAT retain Nichole The iVote online voting system was not used at these elections after the system failed during the NSW local government elections in December 2021.[4]. Maybe if Steve Whan is preselected again, Labor might have a fighting chance as he almost held on here in 2011. Election result for Monaro, New South Wales, Australia. It covers the Snowy Monaro and Queanbeyan-Palerang council areas. [3], The NSW Electoral Commission pre-emptively sent postal ballots to all voters registered on the state electoral roll for the relevant districts, under a regulation in a COVID amendment to the Electoral Act. A by-election was held in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly seat of Monaro on 12 February 2022 upon the resignation of Deputy Premier of New South Wales and Nationals MP John Barilaro. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Now in its second decade in office, the Coalition government in New South Wales is one of only two conservative administrations remaining in Australia at federal, state or territory level, along with Tasmania. At the 2019 state election, pre-polls represented 26.9 per cent of enrolment, and postal and iVotes together 7.9 per cent. Realistically the Nats should hold this one but lose Bega considering National party strength as seen at the Hunter by-election. two-party preferred results by polling place and vote type. "We always know how difficult by-elections are and when you're facing four at the same time Ithink it is a big impact. The resignation of former premier Gladys Berijiklian and former NSW Labor leader Jodi McKay prompted by-elections in the two Sydney electorates ofWilloughbyand Strathfield. She unsuccessfully ran as the federal Liberals candidate for the seat of Eden Monaro in 2019 and 2020, and said she hoped to continue the legacy of Andrew Constance ifelected to the state seat of Bega. The Liberals did not run against their Coalition partners in the previous NSW election in 2019 either. The writs for election were issued on 21 January 2022. With SFF out, 7% is up for grabs, I reckon SUS will get about 2% with the rest going to the others. Joyces religious climate-skeptism will only hurt them badly in these regions. It is currentlyheld by the NSW Nationals with a safe margin of 11.6 per cent. Wilson was elected to Queanbeyan-Palarang Council at last December's local government elections. He has previously contested Monaro, Eden-Monaro and the NSW Legislative Council. "Race is used as a partisan politicalweapon for short-term gain but withdevastating long-term consequences. At this time the spelling was changed to Manaro. A date for the by-election will not be set until he formally resigns from the state seat, although it is one of five by-elections across NSW believed to be taking place As mentioned above, 3/6 of the candidates ran in 2019 election which is quite a high number to re-contest considering the only other by-election in this lot with the same candidate is Willoughby with IND (Penn). A Monaro local,Ms Seymour hasrun as the party's candidate in past state and federal elections. According to Parliamentary Library calculations, at the 2019 federal election 41.3 per cent of Eden-Monaro voters pre-poll voted compared to 31.3 per cent across NSW, which suggests that a significant proportion of Eden-Monaro voters are inclined to The National Party recorded majorities in all 27 polling places used at the 2019 election. "I have consulted with relevant office holders, including the Electoral Commissioner and representatives of the other major parties, about this time frame.". NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet says he's proud the Liberals have taken votesfrom Labor in Strathfield, whereLaborcandidate Jason Yat-sen Li has won on a narrow margin.